søndag 19. oktober 2008

Nymex - Crude Oil, Light Sweet, Dec 2008, Key Reversal: Potential +27% within 30 days.

Nymex - Crude Oil, Light Sweet, Dec 2008: Click to enhance

Analysts: 1 million barrel OPEC cut not enough

CAIRO, Egypt (AP) -- A crude oil production cut of even 1 million barrels per day at OPEC's upcoming emergency meeting is unlikely to reverse slumping prices in the short term, analysts said Sunday, amid mounting calls by several cartel members to take action to keep prices at the $80 per barrel level.......

OPEC seen keeping oil prices around $70-$90/bbl

By Luke Pachymuthu
DUBAI (Reuters) - OPEC will likely implement a production cut when it meets for an emergency meeting in Vienna on Friday, as it tries to stabilise global crude oil prices at around $70 to $90 a barrel, analysts said.......

OPEC may cut output by 1 to 3mln bpd: Iran

TEHRAN (AFP) – Iran said on Sunday that OPEC will consider an output cut of one to three million barrels per day (bpd) of oil in its upcoming meeting, the Mehr news agency reported.......

Oil rallies over expectations of OPEC cut

NEW YORK— Oil prices recovered some ground Friday, rallying above $71 a barrel on speculation that OPEC could slash output in an effort to stop crude’s downward spiral. But pump prices kept falling and appeared poised to drop below $3 a gallon nationally — a level not seen in eight months. .......

Houston stands on the front line of energy policy

“The first thing that you have to realize is that we are very dependent on coal, crude oil and natural gas and that’s not going to change quickly,” he said........

Egypt expects oil price to fall to $60 a barrel

CAIRO (Reuters) - Egyptian Oil Minister Sameh Fahmy said on Saturday he expected oil prices to fall to $60 dollars a barrel in the medium term because of the international financial crisis........

fredag 17. oktober 2008

Oil: Long-Term Bull Still Intact; Short-Term Weakness Should Persist

When demand for oil is perceived as rising and production is at existing capacity, a cut by OPEC puts a firm floor under prices. When demand for oil is perceived as falling and production is below existing capacity, a production cut will lead to quite the opposite; prices will fall because there is the comfort that future increase in demand can be met from existing capacity.......

Crude Oil Rebounds From 13-Month Low as OPEC May Cut Production

Oct. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rebounded from a 13-month low in New York on speculation OPEC may announce production cuts at a meeting next week as weakening demand caused by slowing economic growth bolstered stockpiles

UK PM: "Absolutely Scandalous" That OPEC Considering Cuts

LONDON (AFP)--U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown told a meeting of business leaders Friday it was "absolutely scandalous" that oil producing countries were considering cutting production next week.
The emergency meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which was brought forward to next Friday from November, has sparked speculation that oil producers will cut output to raise oil prices, which had tumbled to a 17-month low Thursday.
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/al?rnd=%2FYK%2B0D%2FD2mOTWDfGxW3QRw%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

How Does the Financial Crisis Affect the Peak Oil Thesis?

Michael Shedlock has a great post on the recent slide on oil prices. Shedlock has been predicting a deflationary scenario as a consequence of the credit bust even when commodities reached all-time record highs earlier in the year. Due to oil’s rapid descent past his $70 target, Shedlock is now predicting possible $50 - $60 oil.

Se hele artikkelen her.

torsdag 16. oktober 2008

OPEC Iran Gov:Calls On Non-OPEC Producers To Join Any Action

LONDON -(Dow Jones)- Iran's governor for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Thursday called on non-OPEC oil producers to join any action the group takes at its emergency meeting next week.
Mohammad Khatibi, speaking to Dow Jones Newswires, didn't say what decision could be taken but some OPEC ministers have called for a fresh production cut.
If they joined OPEC's decision, "their goals could be reached faster. They could enjoy" the results of any action, he said.
Thursday, OPEC said it would bring forward the date of an extraordinary meeting from Nov. 18 to Oct. 24 after oil prices dropped under $70 a barrel.
Russia, a key non-OPEC producer, has recently called for closer cooperation with the cartel. That sparked speculation it could decide to join a concerted production cut, which it did to arrest a decline in prices at the end of 2001.
Khatibi mentioned Russia as a key non-OPEC oil producer that could join any OPEC decision as well as Sudan, Mexico and Norway.
He also said that since some oil projects outside Iran, typically unconventional, needed a $65 to $70 a barrel price to break even, they may now be "postponed or canceled."
By Benoit Faucon, Dow Jones Newswires; +44-20-7842-9266; benoit.faucon@dowjones.com
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/al?rnd=3N1Yh%2B763c8JAxskzsObjw%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
10-16-08 1201ET

Venezuela's Chavez Vows To Survive Falling Oil Prices

CARACAS -(Dow Jones)- Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez vowed late Wednesday to pull his country through a dramatic fall in oil prices that threatens its fiscal soundness.
"Many people want oil to keep falling so they can see us fall, but Venezuela won't sink ...," the president said during late night televised remarks as he addressed a group of artists and academics.
Crude prices could keep falling, he said, but he gave no more sense of how far his administration expects them to go.
The Chavez administration has structured a $78.6 billion budget for 2009, assuming an average price for Venezuelan crude of $60 a barrel, slightly lower than the current oil prices.
Venezuela's oil basket closed last week at $81.78 a barrel, but is expected to close this week below $70 a barrel, based on the price movements of the more expensive West Texas Intermediate crude which closed Wednesday at $71 per barrel.
Chavez also insisted that his administration will continue to push for an Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries' bank that would control oil reserves.
"The Russians already said yes, Iran said yes," Chavez said about the OPEC bank proposal. "Imagine a bank that holds oil reserves," from some of its largest members, the president insisted.
Most recently, Chavez has vowed to move ahead with the project on its own along with other oil producer countries if OPEC as a whole continues to disregard the oil bank idea.
-By Raul Gallegos; Dow Jones Newswires; +58-212-905-6338; raul.gallegos@dowjones.com
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/al?rnd=3N1Yh%2B763c8JAxskzsObjw%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
10-16-08 1126ET

OPEC Embarks on a Fool's Mission

Oil has fallen below $70 in the wake of a slowing global economy and massive deleveraging by hedge funds.......